Pacific outlook · NOAA bulletin, 8 October 2026
NOAA reports that El Niño is strengthening, with strong-to-very strong conditions likely to persist through January–March 2027. This describes the Pacific climate pattern, not the weather for your activity. NOAA bulletin ↗ (opens in a new tab)
A Department of Agriculture advisory published on 2 September 2026, citing SAWS' 31 August Seasonal Climate Watch, highlighted the potential for below-normal summer rainfall and high temperatures. This is dated context; consult SAWS for its latest local outlook. Government advisory ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Possibility, not certainty. El Niño often raises the likelihood of hotter or drier conditions in parts of southern Africa. Local outcomes vary; a seasonal tendency does not rule out storms, flooding or cool days.